Preview - Sampling Distributions 2021

Putting it all together!


IMPORTANT - PLEASE READ

As you saw on the previous slide, the sampling distribution for \(\hat p\) depends on \(n\) and \(p\) . When \(p\) is closer to 0.5, and \(n\) is larger, the sampling distribution looks more Normal.

Here's a summary: Choose an SRS of size \(n\) from a population of size \(N\) with proportion \(p\) of successes.  Let \(\hat p\) be the sample proportion of successes. Then, the following is true for the sampling distribution of \(\hat p\) (as long as the conditions are met):

  Formula/Attribute Condition that must be met
Shape:  approximately Normal \(np \ge 10\) and \(n(1-p) \ge 10\)
Center:  \(\mu_\hat p = p\) Random sampling (usually an SRS)
Spread:  \(\sigma_ \hat p = \sqrt \frac {p(1-p)}{n}\) \(10n \leq N\)  (10% condition) 

We will check these 3 conditions EVERY TIME we do a sampling problem about proportions.

 

 


Questions

Please answer the questions below.

The Evanstonian is concerned about the effect of vaping and e-cigarettes at ETHS. The Evanstonian staff poll a simple random sample of 150 ETHS students and ask,

“Yes or No? Do you think that vaping (and/or e-cigarettes) are a problem at ETHS?”

Is the 10% condition satisfied? Why or why not? If so, calculate the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of \(\hat p\)Suppose it's known that 30% of students will say "yes" to this question.


Suppose that 30% of all ETHS students respond “Yes” to this question. Let \(\hat p\) be the sample proportion of ETHS students who respond “Yes” to this question. What is the mean of the sampling distribution of \(\hat p\)?


What is the shape of the sampling distribution of \(\hat p\)? Explain your reasoning and show work. 


What is the probability that, in a random sample of 150 ETHS students, less than 25% will respond "Yes". (Note: You've shown that this data can be approximated as normal, and you have calculated the mean and standard deviation of that distribution. This is now the sort of problem that you did waaaay back in chapter 2!)

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Notes

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